Nippy-Fiction
0x13bb56d959795a8b817fb9fa0a7a9c43c805c279
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$416.58
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$14.05
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
463 shares @ 15.9¢·now 36.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$170.15
$96.42
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
155 shares @ 57.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$105.86
$17.82
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
120 shares @ 37.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$69.00
$24.60
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
95 shares @ 11.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$56.24
$45.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 27.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.05
$-24.15
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.88
$0.13
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
650 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.33
$-19.67
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
146 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.07
$-29.93
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
1163 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.00May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.75May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$44.40May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.31May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$1.27May 15, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$1.27May 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$43.88May 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.60May 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.23May 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$3.20May 14, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.40May 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$85.50May 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10PM ET$1.74May 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$8.33May 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$2.10May 11, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$89.12May 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$11.00May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.82May 9, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$14.41May 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$34.11May 6, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".