Ideal-Tadpole
0x13bc93dd7c036c5ccba74768d977c4e83f611c75
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - October 15
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$27.14Feb 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down - October 15$5.00Oct 15, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?$4.88Oct 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?$4.00Oct 4, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$0.00Oct 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$16.50Oct 4, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$4.00Oct 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$16.88Sep 23, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$15.21Sep 21, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Sep 21, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$19.23Sep 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out?$3.00Sep 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?$0.00Sep 5, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?$3.98Sep 5, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?$3.84Aug 31, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$15.00Aug 28, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$11.76Aug 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?$20.00Jul 27, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$10.00Jul 27, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Jul 27, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.