SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 27, 2026

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+6.0pp

24h Vol

$77.4K

Liquidity

$61.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-10.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Up 6pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 45¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 744.6h

    LOW

Price movement

+6.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: -23.0pp at 2d ago (to 43¢).

Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
  • 23:24 · +7.0pp → 50¢
  • 22:00 · +7.0pp → 50¢
  • 21:00 · +7.0pp → 50¢
  • 20:00 · +7.0pp → 50¢
  • 19:00 · +9.0pp → 52¢
  • 2d ago · -23.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -17.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -17.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventEnglish Premier League Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket