0x13cbf7041fe569d75c69023d05f802ba21b5fd65
0x13cbf7041fe569d75c69023d05f802ba21b5fd65
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
107
Open notional
$3.80
Total PnL
$-269.03
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
36 shares @ 33.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.80
$-8.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- HAILEY BAPTISTE
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang
68 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
15 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$4.26Jun 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2.03Jun 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$3.04Jun 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$3.02Jun 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.41Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$3.03Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$4.48Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$3.03Jun 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3.02Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.26Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.32Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.22Jun 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.50Jun 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.96Jun 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.04Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.94Jun 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.30Jun 12, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.