Tepid-Crisp
0x13d92fc96b050b5c26634f51b192ea3d86c1b139
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$15.48
Total PnL
$-8.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$0.03
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.01
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.82
$0.78
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.72
$0.00
- NO
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.13
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.07
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.71May 31, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.12May 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.07Apr 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.23Apr 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.72Apr 28, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.07Apr 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.32Mar 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.25Mar 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$2.10Dec 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.10Dec 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.10Dec 10, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.20Dec 9, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.90Dec 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.10Dec 9, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.02Dec 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.08Dec 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.10Dec 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.20Dec 9, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.01Dec 9, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".