Accomplished-Evidence
0x13dca697379247ea54674d7450dcf702d75609fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$58.62
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-38.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 82.2¢·now 91.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.24
$4.55
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
27 shares @ 27.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.47
$-1.92
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
28 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.54
$-0.68
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.36
$-4.93
- YES
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
2500 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Scotland vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
1608 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-587.62
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1112 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-64.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?
389 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.61
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
123 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-49.08
- YES
Canada vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?
101 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-36.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$225.92Jul 31, 22:01 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.27Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.10Jun 26, 09:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.07Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$0.00Jun 22, 07:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.39Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$265.79Jun 22, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$0.36Jun 21, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$20.58Jun 21, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$12.86Jun 21, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$48.72Jun 21, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $102.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.