Well-Lit-Injunction
0x13e19131cae174af271a6d6f1896a62d7c03f5e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$378.07
Total PnL
$-382.77
Realised
$-4.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
149 shares @ 33.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$64.61
$14.61
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
72 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.64
$3.24
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
67 shares @ 74.7¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$50.02
$-0.03
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
63 shares @ 79.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$49.16
$-1.26
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
72 shares @ 69.7¢·now 63.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$45.37
$-4.63
- YES
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?
73 shares @ 29.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$11.01
$-10.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$7.45
$7.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
736 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.10Aug 3, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.10Aug 3, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$21.05Aug 3, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$20.10Aug 3, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.38Aug 3, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.20Aug 3, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$28.63Aug 3, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$4.05Aug 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.08Aug 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.10Aug 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.07Aug 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.06Aug 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$24.17Aug 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.11Aug 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.05Aug 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.09Aug 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$8.57Aug 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.09Aug 3, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.09Aug 3, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.01Aug 3, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.