Grotesque-Disparity
0x13ec9f7b102403b1281bd1d94577705c72ccdf9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.47
Total PnL
$-9.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 24.8¢·now 21.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?
1220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.