Frank-Power
0x13fece36e1a024c5004912c0f5eec9b935ad6fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$36.18
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.69
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.54
$0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 27?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.32
$0.01
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.28
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 27?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$37.99Jun 5, 06:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 27?$1.10May 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 27?$1.20May 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?$5.54May 27, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 27?$5.31May 27, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$38.01May 27, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$3.28May 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$5.00May 27, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$6.68May 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 27, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $9.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.