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EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?

Probability

99¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$317.53

Liquidity

$4.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 855.4h

    LOW
  • 08:34Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 855h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 accordingAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
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Alerts

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