Assured-Overview
0x14169e965308609eacfe991261506efa711af47a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$877.05
Total PnL
$-381.07
Realised
$-43.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
302 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$302.46
$5.15
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
216 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$214.70
$11.66
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
213 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$213.00
$2.13
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?
135 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$134.64
$25.58
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 30.9¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.24
$-22.21
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 15?
213 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-153.21
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-114.66
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
111 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-92.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$128.00Feb 19, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$153.00Feb 19, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$203.04Feb 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$186.90Feb 11, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$134.64Feb 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$210.87Feb 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$104.25Feb 9, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$107.03Feb 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$101.40Feb 8, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$44.80Feb 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$114.66Feb 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$120.03Feb 7, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$116.48Feb 7, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$194.56Feb 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$186.88Feb 1, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?$120.00Feb 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$199.50Feb 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$181.42Jan 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$178.50Jan 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$112.32Jan 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $144.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.