Tepid-App
0x14192aaa814f7e7e08f7bec4135df7e83de06e6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$49.47
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$1.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
75 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.88
$-1.13
- NO
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$8.20
$-11.80
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.61
$-14.39
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.57
$-4.43
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-8.96
- YES
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
682 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
576 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$11.43Mar 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.00Mar 16, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.56Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$15.87Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$4.92Feb 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$10.00Feb 22, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$14.95Feb 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$10.83Feb 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.83Feb 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$6.88Feb 22, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Feb 22, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Feb 22, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$15.69Feb 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Feb 22, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.47Feb 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.96Feb 22, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.50Feb 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.50Feb 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$51.96Feb 15, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.