Witty-Armchair
0x142adcc6031232974212581d5882dc25de02a44a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$76.57
Total PnL
$-917.50
Realised
$13.61
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
97 shares @ 16.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.01
$3.01
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 29.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.23
$-5.77
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.19
$-1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.50
$-0.10
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$-10.20
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 27.9¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?$5.72Jun 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$3.13Jun 14, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$2.00Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?$4.99Jun 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$4.99Jun 13, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?$5.00Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$2.00Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?$2.00Jun 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$2.00Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?$5.00Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?$2.00Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?$0.74Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?$1.26Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12?$2.00Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$2.00Jun 12, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?$10.00Jun 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?$2.00Jun 12, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.