Thorny-Conspirator
0x1437b932047c5e4e5ebe39ec07c931156cb23553
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$645.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.0K
$33.34
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2817 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$14.09
- MIRRA ANDREEVA
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
2564 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.0K
$-12.82
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
2941 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.0K
$-14.70
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3443 shares @ 23.2¢·now 52.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.8K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1563 shares @ 83.2¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$-8.03
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
1408 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$992.96
$-7.04
- OVER
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5
1418 shares @ 70.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$971.25
$-28.74
- YUTA SHIMIZU
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu
1659 shares @ 60.3¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$663.76
$-336.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$2.8KJun 5, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.3KJun 5, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$1.0KJun 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$2.0KJun 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.0KJun 5, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$2.0KJun 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.0KJun 5, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5$1.0KJun 5, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu$1.0KJun 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMHeilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller$1.1KJun 5, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$5.8KJun 5, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5$2.5KJun 5, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5$1.7KJun 5, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic$1.3KJun 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5$403.94Jun 5, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$2.0KJun 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller$1.0KJun 5, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Georgia win on 2026-06-05?$883.42Jun 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5$1.5KJun 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-06-05?$1.0KJun 5, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $873.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".