Dishonest-Herb
0x1438410a696eb57bead98032a433672907a34466
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$14.35
Total PnL
$-14.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.00Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$16.22Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 10?$1.04Jun 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?$1.02Jun 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?$1.04Jun 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.