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OtherExpires Feb 28, 2027

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$352.04

Liquidity

$15.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 7404.7h

    LOW
  • 11:19Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 7405h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Feb 28, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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