Frilly-Bicycle
0x144ef8d42a0cc428cf0cb1460d65a602737975ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$434.27
Total PnL
$-124.76
Realised
$-25.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1952 shares @ 10.2¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$287.92
$88.17
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1500 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.25
$-8.25
- YES
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$25.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$25.00
$-15.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.10
$-37.90
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
13000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$550.40Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$489.26Jun 12, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$505.10Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$503.59Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$100.50Jun 6, 20:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00Jun 2, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$105.82Jun 2, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$280.00Jun 2, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $375.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.