Bogus-Initiative
0x1450026b76797f8a5d6a6c8acef281c33dbe5c97
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$413.70
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
422 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$413.70
$9.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on August 15?
1066 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-511.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?
1000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
1000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-460.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 1?
1000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?
1000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118K on August 20?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-470.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
1000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-459.98
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 16?
998 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-419.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 19?
800 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-424.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.48May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$433.86May 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$3.63May 14, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$5.26May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.20May 14, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.86May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$4.26May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$8.64May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.01May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.26May 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.0KMay 14, 05:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.34May 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$458.47May 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.53May 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$102.50Apr 25, 16:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.37Apr 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?$215.00Apr 21, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$10.15Apr 21, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19?$150.00Apr 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19?$63.57Apr 16, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $105.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".