Closed-Floor
0x14878340de695cc7d64b43e50af021106e80fa30
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.12
Total PnL
$-70.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$-0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 29?
8240 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 8?
6298 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 3?
4126 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?
3894 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?
2127 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?
2097 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
2089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 22?
2089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.23Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.20Jun 12, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$11.23Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$11.20May 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$11.14May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$11.10May 19, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$11.08May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$10.82May 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$10.63May 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$10.60May 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?$0.01Apr 27, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?$4.22Apr 27, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?$4.19Apr 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 22?$4.18Apr 23, 01:04 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.22Apr 21, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 19, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $704.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.