Numb-Creek
0x148bd50c9b7ddde6cf8ed608f95e6b6cf031a771
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$257.00
Total PnL
$61.58
Realised
$12.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$2.73Jun 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$2.76Jun 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.76Jun 22, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.82Jun 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2.82Jun 21, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2.80Jun 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.70Jun 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.45Jun 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$208.17Jun 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$82.35Jun 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$107.06Jun 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$194.58Jun 14, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$84.97Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$45.45Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$39.52Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$174.72Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$31.08Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$8.40Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$201.45Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$33.30Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $57.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.