Weary-Limitation
0x14921169deb18df0d645a0c8e4b4a6a951ca1518
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.54
Total PnL
$-7.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.14
$0.01
- NO
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.13
$-0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.01
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.04
$-0.01
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- NO
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.17Jun 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.05Jun 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.06May 9, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.08Apr 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.14Mar 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.62Mar 29, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.17Dec 30, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.45Dec 30, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$2.66Dec 5, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.09Dec 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Texas vs. Tulane$1.32Dec 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.31Dec 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.12Nov 27, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.23Nov 20, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.13Nov 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$18.09Nov 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$8.47Nov 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$26.56Nov 15, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.