Practical-Buy
0x149b0edc359bb0c8ae87f5c6890dd5df96fffe81
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.99
Total PnL
$-21.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 58.4¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?
171 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
18 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.07Jul 21, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Jul 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.00Jul 21, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.83Jul 21, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.03Jul 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jul 19, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.63May 10, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$3.57May 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$2.25Apr 10, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.18Apr 10, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.07Apr 8, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$0.00Apr 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$1.28Apr 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1.22Apr 8, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$1.06Apr 8, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?$1.30Apr 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.32Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.