0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435
0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435
Quality score
72/100
Open positions
84
Open notional
$338.81
Total PnL
$-104.25
Realised
$-34.40
Win rate
42%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
862 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$56.04
$-30.18
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34 shares @ 44.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.41
$8.37
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3379 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$21.97
$-47.71
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
97 shares @ 17.6¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.35
$1.16
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
37 shares @ 35.8¢·now 39.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.76
$1.43
- YES
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
171 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.57
$2.57
- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
10 shares @ 33.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$9.74
$6.22
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
17 shares @ 41.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.27
$2.27
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
87 shares @ 10.3¢·now 10.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.91
$-0.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.008h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.113d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.223d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.063d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.195d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.675d ago
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.185d ago
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.105d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$1.246d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$1.306d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$1.306d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$1.316d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$1.316d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.