0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435
0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$233.12
Total PnL
$-151.95
Realised
$-67.25
Win rate
41%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
862 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.30
$-59.92
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
97 shares @ 17.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.65
$-2.53
- YES
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4005 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.02
$-2.96
- YES
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
171 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 10.3¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.29
$3.46
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.36
$0.36
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.81
$-0.23
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
7 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.14
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.92
$-0.08
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.86
$3.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$0.14Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$0.12Jun 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.40Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.47Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.