Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Probability
30¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.0h
- 06:58SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 30¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are engaged to be married by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Perry and Trudeau have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry and/or Justin Trudeau or one of their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).