Partial-Sympathy
0x14a15871925f9c2cfa064f300ac206bfddf385fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
68 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
58 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
53 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Starmer say "Goon" or "Gooner" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
45 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
31 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
21 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?
15 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dell say "Computer" or "Laptop" during earnings call?$3.01May 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell say "China" during earnings call?$1.54May 28, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bessent say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Press Briefing?$1.80May 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.99May 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "Iran" 5+ times during Press Briefing?$1.01May 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Press Briefing?$1.02May 28, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Blue" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$2.74May 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Xi" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$3.09May 27, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Blue" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$2.02May 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.07May 27, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Fight Oligarchy" during Fighting Oligarchy?$1.82May 26, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy?$5.00May 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?$1.03May 25, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Big Business" during Fighting Oligarchy?$1.02May 25, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy?$4.03May 25, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Fight Oligarchy" during Fighting Oligarchy?$1.02May 25, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Ballroom" during Fighting Oligarchy?$1.03May 25, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Data Center" during Fighting Oligarchy?$2.06May 25, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?$1.18May 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?$9.38May 25, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.