Hilarious-Sweatshirt
0x14a998d95df77494b6a1613661a9e8fac215b655
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$74.97
Total PnL
$-20.67
Realised
$3.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
42 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$42.00
$14.42
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.38
$2.02
- NO
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.00
$2.25
- NO
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.00
$1.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 60.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.56
$-6.24
- YES
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.44
$-2.36
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.60
$-0.72
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1066 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.77
- YES
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
49 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.32Feb 13, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$9.36Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$8.96Jan 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.10Jan 25, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.52Jan 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.80Jan 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$7.83Dec 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$6.75Dec 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.84Dec 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.22Dec 16, 11:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.24Dec 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$7.19Dec 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$6.94Dec 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?$4.16Dec 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?$4.03Dec 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?$11.13Dec 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?$10.61Dec 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled in 2025?$2.71Dec 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?$6.43Dec 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?$0.32Dec 15, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.