Nocturnal-Codling
0x14b3d877ddbad52443f02085f80204be3589298b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$71.64
Total PnL
$-40.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.69
$-3.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?
30 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$15.15
$-1.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.80
$1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
24 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
17 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$16.80May 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?$13.00May 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.10May 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$35.85May 12, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.37Apr 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.86Apr 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.57Apr 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.63Apr 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.73Apr 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.00Apr 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.08Apr 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.67Apr 6, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$12.88Apr 6, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.22Apr 6, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.60Apr 6, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.87Apr 6, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.87Apr 6, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$4.68Apr 6, 00:38 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".