Luminous-Kebab
0x14bc8992afdb6057eaafd223de793bfa6a293904
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-17.87
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NORWAY
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
658 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$246.70
$-3.29
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1257 shares @ 16.7¢·now 17.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$216.74
$7.23
- NO
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
347 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$210.07
$-39.93
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
472 shares @ 53.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$200.47
$-49.53
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1807 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$152.70
$-3.93
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1688 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.26
$-0.84
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
121 shares @ 91.5¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.80
$-4.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$104.46
$4.46
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
62 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$61.48
$0.84
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
375 shares @ 14.6¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.55
$5.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-2.5)$36.37Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$252.10Jun 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$253.52Jun 16, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-2.5)$218.27Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jun 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-3.5)$23.31Jun 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Norway (-3.5)$3.67Jun 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Norway (-2.5)$17.30Jun 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.67Jun 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.67Jun 15, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-2.5)$11.66Jun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19Jun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19Jun 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-2.5)$2.70Jun 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$113.79Jun 15, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-2.5)$4.08Jun 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116.27Jun 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$108.02Jun 15, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$153.74Jun 15, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $43.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.