Vain-Prejudice
0x14c14d2e93f1e573014b426e06d48272177c6512
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$397.58
Total PnL
$-640.50
Realised
$-12.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
268 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$268.00
$2.95
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
96 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$89.28
$9.60
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
237 shares @ 74.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.17
$-135.68
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.13
$-0.06
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?
726 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-217.80
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" in Rome, GA on February 19?
724 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-209.96
- NO
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
111 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-73.77
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$79.68Apr 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$79.31Apr 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO before 2027?$76.22Apr 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$75.44Apr 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$54.17Apr 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$63.07Apr 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$58.62Apr 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$37.68Mar 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$122.40Mar 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$16.56Mar 31, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$150.88Mar 29, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$191.36Mar 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18?$329.28Mar 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18?$13.23Mar 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18?$300.57Mar 25, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Congresswoman" on Truth Social this week?$187.91Mar 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Congresswoman" on Truth Social this week?$111.80Mar 24, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Congresswoman" on Truth Social this week?$446.08Mar 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?$46.17Mar 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?$33.60Mar 22, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $112.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.