Unwieldy-Television
0x14c2311a1ca579ec0ca9909e256f637f6602b37c
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-716.34
Realised
$-148.78
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
64 shares @ 32.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$6.06
$-14.34
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?
89 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March?
57 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-36.12
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of May 4 2026?
55 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of June?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?
41 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of May 4 2026?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on April 20?
39 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$32.90Aug 6, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$62.86Aug 5, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of July?$49.96Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on July 28?$0.00Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of July?$10.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on July 28?$15.25Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$10.17Jul 27, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$6.88Jul 27, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$15.86Jul 26, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$15.49Jul 26, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$15.67Jul 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 22?$7.34Jul 21, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$6.64Jul 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.94Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$58.62Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.19Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.47Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Jul 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$12.15Jul 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: France O/U 1.5$5.21Jul 18, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.