0x14c933897fb5d5edb816fd663d1e9e5b2b782afc
0x14c933897fb5d5edb816fd663d1e9e5b2b782afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.66
Realised
$38.33
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?
842 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 27?
462 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?
333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on February 27?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 23?
134 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.70Apr 12, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Apr 12, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.56Apr 12, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.13Apr 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$8.51Apr 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$7.00Mar 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$7.20Mar 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$8.00Mar 22, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$8.23Mar 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$7.00Mar 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$6.99Mar 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$5.00Mar 21, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$5.00Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 23?$8.00Mar 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$4.00Mar 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$13.08Mar 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?$10.00Mar 19, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$10.00Mar 19, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$10.00Mar 19, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$2.11Mar 18, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.