Harmless-Hepatitis
0x14cb7845382c6c06198bd5902d4333a9870cc4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-795.08
Realised
$-182.25
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.40 on January 9?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
281 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 5?
280 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 12?
278 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
278 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 11?
272 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 10?
272 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 15?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 2?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 7?$103.26Aug 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 7?$101.40Aug 7, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 1?$2.50Jul 31, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$119.63Jul 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$118.19Jul 1, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$114.97Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$3.44Jun 1, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?$24.88May 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?$0.03May 29, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?$21.62May 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$1.10May 26, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?$16.84May 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$69.19May 17, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?$20.53May 17, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$2.08May 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?$1.25May 9, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$48.48May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?$1.36May 8, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$46.15May 7, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$52.00May 7, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.