Dense-Thermometer
0x14d78b8a94f66ee7e7952f3b8d4e1b25b69d5359
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.36
Total PnL
$-155.83
Realised
$-2.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
21 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.96
$4.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.40
$-9.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
6333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
187 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.87
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
66 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
41 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
30 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
7 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
6 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$16.87Apr 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$2.93Apr 12, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.87Apr 11, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15.38Apr 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$7.42Mar 9, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.57Mar 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$14.23Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.99Mar 7, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.95Mar 7, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.09Mar 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.04Mar 7, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.10Mar 7, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.10Mar 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.16Mar 7, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.91Mar 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.19Mar 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.12Mar 7, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.44Mar 7, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".