0x14e7694386ac840e04729d53c656da9740f73a2a
0x14e7694386ac840e04729d53c656da9740f73a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$250.29
Total PnL
$-22.92
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
88 shares @ 56.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.43
$37.72
- NO
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$43.00
$18.06
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
54 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.00
$2.16
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
32 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.40
$1.12
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
27 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.11
$1.00
- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
35 shares @ 66.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.50
$-5.60
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
35 shares @ 70.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.27
$-8.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
44 shares @ 56.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$-19.58
- NO
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$0.06
- NO
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-27?
53 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$32.74Mar 14, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.13Mar 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$70.79Mar 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$47.95Mar 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$32.67Mar 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$38.96Mar 5, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$1.10Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$32.97Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$23.10Mar 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$24.84Mar 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$24.94Mar 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$24.42Mar 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$15.17Mar 2, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$3.44Mar 2, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$0.14Mar 2, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$5.00Mar 2, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Maddison Inglis$38.00Mar 2, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMCA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5$0.00Mar 2, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Hawks$0.00Mar 2, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-01?$0.00Mar 2, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.