Only-Anyone
0x14ec73392be13ea511dd9d7e7813b6d7f3e9c0e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-77.26
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3268 shares @ 15.3¢·now 35.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.2K
$655.23
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$99.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
102 shares @ 59.1¢·now 72.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$73.45
$13.45
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
136 shares @ 36.8¢·now 40.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.42
$5.42
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$29.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$19.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$17.86
$-82.14
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$20.36Jul 5, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$30.66Jul 5, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$101.35Jul 5, 06:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$119.05Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$5.12Jul 4, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$100.48Jul 4, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$30.64Jul 4, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$144.93Jul 4, 03:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.36Jul 3, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-3.5)$102.37Jul 3, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$100.93Jul 3, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$101.83Jul 3, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$138.41Jul 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$189.25Jul 3, 04:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$101.50Jul 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$100.83Jul 2, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $57.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.