Regular-Evidence
0x14f4d6ce36b6e210c1d28e5785636eda3b4b9eb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$87.04
Total PnL
$-15.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
87 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$87.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 27?
1600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1180 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on December 8?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 20?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 13?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 5?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$87.00Jun 4, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$87.09Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$87.00Jun 1, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.14May 31, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.23May 31, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.23May 30, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$83.08May 29, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$83.01May 29, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$83.78May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$83.70May 24, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$83.08May 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$83.00May 19, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$83.08May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$83.01May 15, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$83.08May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$83.01May 13, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$83.17May 12, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$83.01May 9, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$83.17May 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$83.01May 6, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $57.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".