Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-17.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 854h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $5.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 854.1h
- 15:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 854h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 5¢0.0pp
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 30¢-2.5pp
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company B be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company D be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company F be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company H be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company J be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 85¢+26.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.7M
- 88¢+30.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).