Tight-Vet
0x1505a065dc3973579d738f9616ec7192049ac4cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$8.23
Total PnL
$-158.80
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- GNK DINAMO ZAGREB
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
43 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.01Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance$1.01Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.02Jul 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Jul 27, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.27Jul 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.01Jul 27, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.13Jul 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.01Jul 27, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.05Jul 27, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Jul 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.07Jul 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.01Jul 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.03Jul 27, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.24Jul 27, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.