0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a
0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$193.17
Total PnL
$15.52
Realised
$4.66
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.28
$1.34
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.26
$0.26
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
17 shares @ 51.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.20
$1.48
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.84
$-0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
11 shares @ 88.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$9.48
$-0.52
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
12 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$-0.12
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.72
$0.95
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
15 shares @ 65.3¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.63
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$4.17May 30, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?$1.33May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.77May 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$0.69May 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.04May 30, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$0.36May 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$3.46May 30, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.62May 30, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$5.50May 30, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$2.28May 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.28May 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$0.01May 30, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$15.59May 29, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$0.02May 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$0.83May 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$0.09May 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$0.82May 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$0.33May 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$0.77May 29, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".