0x1519dbae0fe1ed1429e9c1ec36653952c748da5e
0x1519dbae0fe1ed1429e9c1ec36653952c748da5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$57.74
Total PnL
$-20.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
13 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.73
$0.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.77
$0.31
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
6 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.39
$0.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.42
$0.21
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.08
$0.07
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$3.66
$0.04
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$1.21
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?$5.16Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?$5.12Jun 2, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$6.32Jun 2, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$5.00Jun 1, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$12.40Jun 1, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$8.33Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$9.25Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?$5.01Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?$5.66Jun 1, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$5.52Jun 1, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?$5.22Jun 1, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$5.21Jun 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?$5.57Jun 1, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.21Jun 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$8.25Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$9.17Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$5.24Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$10.47Jun 1, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$5.46Jun 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.01Jun 1, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.