Vigilant-Elm
0x151b01f35ab80aef3b2fbace12aa5218a7a3c6ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.56
Total PnL
$-450.63
Realised
$10.70
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.83
$-0.46
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
68 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.37
$-2.01
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
51 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.33
$-2.51
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-2.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
108 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
98 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- VICTOR BRAGA
Campinas: Victor Braga vs Juan Pablo Varillas
78 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
77 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
77 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.00Apr 27, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderi$31.08Apr 27, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$38.10Apr 27, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres$38.84Apr 27, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez$48.56Apr 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?$1.50Apr 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.78Apr 20, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli$2.00Apr 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouame$2.01Apr 20, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Teodora Kostovic$2.02Apr 20, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Linda Fruhvirtova$2.02Apr 20, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians$1.80Apr 20, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 20?$2.00Apr 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$2.00Apr 20, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Faria$1.66Apr 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Borna Gojo$2.03Apr 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.97Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on April 21?$1.13Apr 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 20, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.