Plush-Urge
0x152507d2cca985f526e81478c51695644419a67a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.86
Total PnL
$-13.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
8 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 25, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.00Mar 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.00Mar 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.00Dec 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 6, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 6, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $1.00Dec 6, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on October 24?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on September 15?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$0.00Dec 6, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".