Lawful-Ranch
0x153b924725dc6ade8c0ceca618a36060513168dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$107.43
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$-849.96
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
389 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-7.59
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-1.49
- YES
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
83333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6952 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-69.52
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
3944 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-635.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.