Gregarious-Randomisation
0x15699de5799b61a1731803702bd2118c1d156279
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.83
$0.13
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.18
$-0.12
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
4400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.40
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1443 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- HORNETS
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
1440 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-619.20
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
1400 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-686.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
890 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-542.89
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
700 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-308.99
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
26 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMICE shooter charged by March 31?$1.22Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.27Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.60Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$2.82Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$3.24Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$3.43Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$3.86Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.08Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$6.02Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.27Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.74Apr 1, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Apr 1, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Mar 29, 01:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.89Mar 29, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.67Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$720.00Mar 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$720.00Mar 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$250.00Mar 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$250.00Mar 28, 17:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29Mar 27, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $768.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.