Knotty-Wording
0x156b05bf5239ede568a81a7765f2ff874dede0fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$169.37
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
2000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-90.09
- YES
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-13.42
- YES
Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.33
- YES
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
1894 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-66.29
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
1605 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-67.21
- YES
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?
1588 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-14.22
- YES
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?
1493 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-30.03
- YES
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?
1368 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$1.20Jan 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be less than $3b on inauguration day?$0.44Jan 18, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.04Jan 18, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.82Jan 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.17Jan 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.02Jan 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.16Jan 18, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.03Jan 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.03Jan 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be less than $3b on inauguration day?$1.00Jan 18, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?$7.20Jan 18, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?$0.23Jan 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be less than $3b on inauguration day?$0.26Jan 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?$14.00Jan 18, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?$20.00Jan 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?$16.00Jan 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?$0.39Jan 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?$4.11Jan 18, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.65Dec 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Dec 13, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.