0x157d17e71d4a4be74c2ed9b17b4f47025c7bafec
0x157d17e71d4a4be74c2ed9b17b4f47025c7bafec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$37.53
Total PnL
$-70.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.43
$0.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.40
$0.35
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
148 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.70
$-36.26
- YES
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-09?
367 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia vs. Denmark end in a draw?$0.00Jun 10, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.53Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.57Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-06-09?$36.37Jun 9, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia vs. Denmark end in a draw?$24.41Jun 9, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$15.62Jun 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$41.33Jun 4, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$152.62Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$112.61May 14, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $37.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.