Buzzing-Cultivator
0x157ebc52289d37262cd032af093f023b183173bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.68
Total PnL
$-533.92
Realised
$122.07
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?
19 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.65
$-0.08
- YES
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$-0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
805 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.10
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Knicks
689 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-227.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
443 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-162.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
381 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-196.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
34 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-22.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$18.74Jul 18, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$18.74Jul 17, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$18.71Jul 15, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$18.70Jul 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$18.70Jul 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$18.70Jul 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$18.71Jul 11, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$18.71Jul 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$18.74Jul 10, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$4.14Jul 10, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.85Jul 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.20Jul 8, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$22.23Jul 8, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$22.24Jul 3, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$22.23Jul 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$22.28Jul 1, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$22.30Jul 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$22.31Jul 1, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$22.30Jun 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$21.83Jun 29, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.