Lumpy-Youngster
0x158eea493b47765d4ae19d07c991d2b637fc680b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$24.92
Total PnL
$-37.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.23
$0.23
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
4 shares @ 81.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$3.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$2.19
$1.20
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?
26 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01May 30, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.08May 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.00Apr 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$5.00Mar 27, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?$2.05Jan 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 16, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$15.27Jan 15, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$5.01Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 19?$5.11Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$5.12Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$5.18Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$5.21Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$5.56Jan 11, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".