Flaky-Trash
0x15a0b99c37b4d202780766df8eee5a93efde95e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$80.01
Total PnL
$1.66
Realised
$5.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
73 shares @ 79.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.85
$5.76
- NO
Will Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.34
$-0.66
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 10.5¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.14
$-7.86
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$10.00May 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$10.13May 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 26, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$47.65May 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$100.83May 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$8.33May 3, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$5.13Apr 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?$108.11Feb 4, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$11.24Feb 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.24Jan 25, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.20Jan 25, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?$3.20Jan 24, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?$2.40Jan 24, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$3.11Jan 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?$105.00Jan 21, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$10.00Jan 21, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 20?$0.00Jan 21, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on January 20?$0.00Jan 21, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 20?$2.04Jan 21, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on January 20?$4.11Jan 21, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".