0x15a0c8b8243b2daca4e561757ecb6ddd62b78f08
0x15a0c8b8243b2daca4e561757ecb6ddd62b78f08
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$61.36
Total PnL
$0.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.16
$0.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
13 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$12.99
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 9?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$10.99
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 9?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$9.58
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 9?
7 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$6.99
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 9?
7 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$6.64
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$1.00Apr 9, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 9?$2.60Apr 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 9?$4.00Apr 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$2.00Apr 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 9?$6.80Apr 9, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 9?$9.48Apr 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 9?$10.89Apr 9, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$13.88Apr 9, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?$12.91Apr 9, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 9, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by February 28?$0.00Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?$7.61Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$8.97Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?$12.61Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$13.59Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.75Mar 5, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?$12.58Mar 5, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?$7.50Mar 5, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $15.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".